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#33583
01/11/2015 10:43 PM
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Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 69
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OP
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Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 69 |
Starting to figure out where we might go and was wondering if the following locations are pretty calm or are they exposed to possible swells.
1.little harbor JVD 2. Diamond cay (daytime) 3. Leverick..I think this one is safe 4. Haul overs bay Cooper island 5. the Bight..
Just wondering if these might be ok for the.night. We will be there the first week of February..
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Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 5,680
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Traveler
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 5,680 |
All you mentioned should be OK.
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Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 2,165 Likes: 1
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 2,165 Likes: 1 |
Agreed. How about an opposite list. Ie moorings exposed to swell.
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Joined: Jul 2004
Posts: 414
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Jul 2004
Posts: 414 |
Starting to think I can't always predict so well so I have a secondary in mind with a third in reserve. I try to make sure I can hit the alternates before sunset.
Life involves risks, take some prudent ones (NOT with the BVI ferries)!
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Joined: Oct 2004
Posts: 1,974
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Traveler
Joined: Oct 2004
Posts: 1,974 |
9-10 ft swells today. We're avoiding Cooper, Dog, Cam and Lee Bays with Marina Cay a maybe. Hoping to reach North Sound, but will bail out at Trellis if today's high winds and swell make banging to wind annoying. We may bypass White Bay on Guana Island, but hope to stop for lunch and check conditions.
We never take a ball or anchor in White Bay JVD. We've spoken to too different crews that spent a night at White Bay earlier this week. They described dangerous conditions with the swell, and it was smaller then.
Cheers, RickG
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Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 2,165 Likes: 1
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Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 2,165 Likes: 1 |
White bay jvd is a day stop in adequate conditions only.
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Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 2,165 Likes: 1
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 2,165 Likes: 1 |
Rick, are you sure about the large swells? I don't see that on windguru. But your there and I'm looking out the window at snow.
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Joined: Oct 2004
Posts: 1,974
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Joined: Oct 2004
Posts: 1,974 |
Warren, here's my wind guru. Its a good predictor of conditions in 8 hours. We use windguru too, it's a consensus of a couple of models. Buoy 41043 is real time. http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41043Need more Bailey's in my coffee for today's sailing. Cheers, RickG
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Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 7,239 Likes: 4
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Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 7,239 Likes: 4 |
I wondered the same thing. There is no swell forecast for the entire week. Looks a bit windy with the standard wind chop but all the anchorages should be fine. George
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Joined: Apr 2002
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Posts: 7,239 Likes: 4 |
Rick, I think you are getting The north swell confused with wind driven waves. They are very different issues. With the numbers I am seeing all the anchorages should be fine. Your buoy will show larger waves from the wind then you will actually see in most of the BVI. The waves will be from the direction of the wind not the N to NNE you get in a winter swell. G
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Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 7,239 Likes: 4
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Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 7,239 Likes: 4 |
Here is the best site for a local forecast. If there was a swell they would add something like this to the end of each daily forecast. "Swell from N to NNE 2 to 3 meters". When you see that you know to stay clear of the places impacted by the N swell. With your current forecast of brisk wind many of those anchorages like Cane Garden Bay will be the best places to actually go. White Bay on Guana and Marina Key should be fine also. It will be windy at Marina Key. http://weather.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/fmtbltn.pl?file=forecasts/marine/coastal/am/amz715.txt
Last edited by GeorgeC1; 01/12/2015 09:24 AM.
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Joined: May 2002
Posts: 17,238 Likes: 7
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Joined: May 2002
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The swell has dropped to about three feet today (this from Apple Bay)..boats were happily moored in CGB last night..
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Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 2,165 Likes: 1
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Joined: Oct 2014
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We need a swell cam in cane garden bay. That would be cool! And useful. All we need to see are our mono masts. The meter should say stay or stay away.
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Joined: May 2004
Posts: 2,429
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: May 2004
Posts: 2,429 |
Here at Leverick, the wind is howling, has heen since last night. I ' m guessing 20- 25 knts. Lots of chop and white caps in Norh Sound. That always means heavier chop outside the sound. A treat day to sail down the chanell, But,not so much taking up SFD.
Mike "The journey is the thing." Homer
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Joined: Nov 2014
Posts: 130
Traveler
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Traveler
Joined: Nov 2014
Posts: 130 |
I think I will never understand how swell develops in the BVI and how experts can predict it. BTW: It is said that on JvD Great Harbor etc. is bad with north swell because the waves from north were reflected in the USVI and come back to JvD. It is hard to "believe"/imagine this :-)))
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Joined: Jun 2011
Posts: 1,347
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sunbvi said: I think I will never understand how swell develops in the BVI and how experts can predict it. BTW: It is said that on JvD Great Harbor etc. is bad with north swell because the waves from north were reflected in the USVI and come back to JvD. It is hard to "believe"/imagine this :-))) This site does give you a good perspective of 'how swell develops' and the predictions being used. http://polar.ncep.noaa.gov/waves/viewer.shtml?-multi_1-latest-hs-US_puertorico-
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