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Looks like invest 96L will pass below the BVI's with tropical winds in the low range of tropical storms. So maybe some rain and some wind.
Last edited by Carol_Hill; 09/15/2022 09:57 AM.
tpcook
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The Nat Hurricane Center graph looks like it may go right over us..Nice to get some cistern topping rain..
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Current guidance shows a weak TS with the center staying just to the south of the VIs. Should provide some meaningful rainfall. Hope it stays this way.
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Looks like it will be Fiona soon. Tropical Tidbits really is the best site for updates.
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My hurricane tracking map has it below St Croix
Last edited by tpcook; 09/14/2022 11:31 AM.
tpcook
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Good timing. They finished recasting our dock Saturday.
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the best site for updates **** plenty of info https://spaghettimodels.com/
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Yeah Mike’s Weather Page has all the consolidated info but I trust Dr. Levi (Tropical Tidbits), to analyze the data and provide the info.
Dan Boyd has a great St John VI Weather group on Facebook. He provides great updates and local conditions. He pulls from a variety of sources and does a great job breaking things down for the islands.
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Looks like at 50 MPH winds, 3-6 inches rain and 12 ft seas. Still showing passing south of St Croix, but BVI will get northwest quadrant which will have most of the storm.
tpcook
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As of 11 AM from the NHC, no watches or warnings for the BVI YET, but according to Storm Carib, the closest point of approach for Tortola is 71 miles, at 7:48 PM on Saturday.
Stay safe out there, people!
Carol Hill
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USCG St. Thomas will close the VI seaports at 8 PM Friday. Ferry to St Croix to be closed 9/16 - 9 /
21.
Going to be a tough weekend for travelers.
Last edited by Breeze; 09/15/2022 04:40 PM.
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Latest track shows the center of the storm to be 123 miles from my villa on Virgin Gorda. Becoming less of a storm and just some rain. Seas could still be a problem.
tpcook
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Latest from Storm Carib has the closest point of approach as 119 miles away, at 6:48 PM Saturday. Hopefully just a rain event, as Thorsten says.
Stay safe everyone!
Carol Hill
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How's everyone doing over there?
Carol Hill
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It is very wet here on Tortola today. Lots of rain. The wind is gusting up near 40mph. No damage has been reported.
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OK, thanks. Hopefully everyone there knows to stay safe and stay off the roads!
Carol Hill
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Current forecast for EIS is gusts up to 58 MPH which is a bit more than earlier numbers but should not cause much damage.
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Hopefully so. I would be concerned about mudslides on the road..
Carol Hill
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Fiona has been upgraded to a hurricane, headed towards Puerto Rico.
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All good here so far on Virgin Gorda! I still have power which is nothing short of amazing.
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tpcook
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The dinghy dock looks just as rickety as I remember.
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The dinghy dock looks just as rickety as I remember. If you are referring to the CGB dock, I was there earlier this summer and it was in pretty good shape, relatively speaking.
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If you dont fall through it..its in good shape!
Last edited by Manpot; 09/19/2022 06:32 PM.
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So nothing much has changed. Sad that this has been the case since I first visited there in 2001.
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If you dont fall through it..its in good shape! Haha, Mal. It sounds like some of the slats have broken over the summer. When I was there in May, I was shocked that there was not a single broken or missing slat. Far from safe, but def much better shape than usual.
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If you dont fall through it..its in good shape! The blue boards are pre-Irma boards from Coconut Breeze Villas. They aren't going anywhere any time soon!
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