Forecaster Carette---- quote ANALYSIS What bears watching is how much the disturbance develops and strengthens in the coming days. The stronger it becomes in the next five to seven days, the more likely it will be pulled northward and into the open Atlantic. On the other hand, if we see a disturbance that takes its time to develop, it becomes more likely that it will miss the weakness in the high-pressure ridge and track westward instead. This tropical wave looks quite large in overall size and larger disturbances sometimes take a lot longer to organize and develop than smaller ones do. It is very possible that the forecast models are developing this disturbance too quickly, and in the end, we may see much slower development, which could steer the system a lot further west when compared to the model’s suggested track. It is not a given that this system will end up curving into the open Atlantic and therefore should be closely watched over the next few days. Two areas to pay particularly close attention to: first is the far northern Leeward Islands for late this weekend into early next week; second is Bermuda where this disturbance needs to be watched for the middle and end of next week.
Good morning tropical storm Larry..now trending a little more west and less north. Lets hope it starts its northward curve and then wish the best for Bermuda!
The longer Larry keeps heading West before starting to head North the worse it gets for us and surrounding islands.Hoping to see that North curve start soon.
Larry seems to have started its North Western track which should spare us..but the National Hurricane Center graph has Bermuda right in its projected path
Larry is turning into one nasty ,powerful storm. After the last debacle in New York you have to wonder where this one will end up..after, hopefully, sparing Bermuda its full brunt. It certainly looks, right now, as though we have all dodged a powerful bullet.
And the good news is that a major hurricane like this one sucks up a lot of energy so that subsequent storms will hopefully have less "food". But I'm sure that surfers up and down the island chain are looking forward to some major swells on any west east coast stretches.
.
![[Linked Image]](https://zanshin-sailing.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/zanshin-transparent-black-logo-350x100-1-150x43.png){kind=logo}