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Dec 15th, 2024
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Joined: Feb 2008
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I hear ya ... but I still have to work Eric! <img src="http://www.traveltalkonline.com/forums/images/graemlins/Grin.gif" alt="" />
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Joined: May 2002
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"Island" Jim Kelley is housesitting CRC for us, but our ground floor studio is open for anyone needing shelter from the storm..just pay expenses..
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Joined: Dec 2007
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looks like the winds have weakened to 75mph. per recon plane.
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Joined: Oct 2001
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Hearing downgraded to Cat1, so hope all you get is a nice slow rainfall to make everything green and grow!
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Perhaps the first time people are hoping the tropical storm will hit BVI. Rain, baby, rain!
Noel Hall "It is humbling indeed, to discover my own opinion is only correct less than 50% of the time." www.noelhall.com
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I hope there is some rain left whe it gets to the BVI. It still has a lot of dry air to get through
Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry, and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. - Mark Twain
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Joined: Feb 2008
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Still no pain. Really quite remarkable as this has never happened before.
I am of two minds, we desperately (really desperately) need that rain ... but I am quite happy not having the pain.
I hope by the time it gets here it is just a really good tropical storm that will fill the cisterns and give all the plants and trees a much needed watering. All my plants are seriously stressed due to lack of water. Lots have died or are in the process of dying.
So bring on the rain ... but not too much too quickly. Don't need the mudslides or flooding.
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Here's hoping there is some serious rain out of this system, and nothing else...
Carol Hill
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I have heard from a few on Facebook that the bananakeets and other small birds have vanished so they must be better than your knee at forecasting. <img src="http://www.traveltalkonline.com/forums/images/graemlins/Grin.gif" alt="" />
Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry, and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. - Mark Twain
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Joined: Dec 2004
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Will probably be only a Tropical Depression by the time it gets here Monday. Hopefully will have some rain and more rain to follow.
From a Cat3 back down to this we can thank the sahara dust and wind shear for protecting the islands.
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Given that it is such a small storm, there probably won't be much rain. We're at the Puerto del Rey Marina in Fajardo, P.R. We took a lot of precautions that probably weren't necessary. However, there is Invest 98L coming up, but that will probably steer north of the islands.
Living life at seven knots on the M/V Tropical Blend
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Tropical Storm DANNY Public Advisory
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
1100 AM AST SUN AUG 23 2015
...DANNY CONTINUES TOWARD THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 57.3W
ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM E OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM ESE OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
A tropical storm watch has been issued for Puerto Rico, Vieques,
Culebra, and the U.S. Virgin Islands.
The government of France has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch
for Guadeloupe, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected, in this case within the next 24 hours.
For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
...I don't see the BVI listed there at all, so I guess there never was a tropical storm watch issued for the BVI??
Carol Hill
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Praying some much-needed rain is on the way!
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My hip is beginning to give me a little grief ... but my knee is still fine. I have to believe that Danny will be a no show and that all we will see from it may be some rain and some high winds (briefly) but no cause to board up.
Nobody in my neighbourhood has boarded up yet and I am not going to bother at this point. Some of the computer models are showing it dipping south of us and based on how I feel, I think that is exactly what it will do.
We had 45mph winds about a week ago and got some pretty strong rain as well. I felt pretty much the same then as I do now. The rain came down pretty hard for a while but then it was gone.
Maybe my knee was right after all ... though I do think that Sahara wind did a nice job of providing a barrier as Glenn suggested.
I do hope we get at least some rain out of it.
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Danny is Dying! I suspect very little effect on the BVI. Maybe some rain (Sure do need that) <img src="http://www.traveltalkonline.com/forums/images/graemlins/Groovin.gif" alt="" />
tpcook
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OneEyedJack said:
Wife and I were sailing by ourselves when Bertha came through 198_something. Our last night was spent on a ball on Cooper Island - very windy! I called the Moorings base and was informed that the storm wasn't there yet, but we were required to have the boat back at the base in the morning. Fortunately, it was out last day of our charter and we had a hotel room reserved. Long story short, it was a direct hit on Road Town - got to be in the eye of a hurricane! The harbor was shore-to-shore boats. People starting their charters were allowed to stay on their boats until it got really bad - 100+ kts. Since they didn't have rooms, there were required to sit in the common areas until the storm passed. Overall, Moorings did a commendable job keeping everyone fed with whatever the kitchen staff could throw together. The worst part was that they closed the bar! Word to the wise, if a blow is coming, stock up on liquid supplies, if you know what I mean. It took three days for air service to return to normal. Damage wasn't very bad around the island, although an inter island freighter washed up on the Moorings jetty. Bertha was July 96. At least the one that was a cat 1 that went right over the BVI.
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LianeLeTendre said:I am really confused about this storm. All the computer models are showing the storm tracking almost directly at us. In the past, when we were three to four days away from a storm hitting the BVI, my knee would be killing me ... but it's not. I have no pain at all. It usually swells up like a balloon and the pain is excruciating. But so far, there's nothing! Now of course, that could change at any time, but it's as though my internal barometer is broken. I almost hate to say this (in case my knee is just being slow on the uptake) ... but I almost, and I can't stress the "almost" part enough, I almost believe the storm won't be coming this way at all and if it does, it won't be much of a storm. I know it sounds ridiculous, but my knee has never let me down before. It has always been my own personal early warning system. But this time, I've got nothing! So either my knee is no longer reliable ... or ... the storm will somehow dogleg and completely miss us ... or ... it fizzles out before it gets here. Personally, I hope my knee is right. <img src="http://www.traveltalkonline.com/forums/images/graemlins/Grin.gif" alt="" /> <img src="http://www.traveltalkonline.com/forums/images/graemlins/Groovin.gif" alt="" />
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Joined: Oct 2000
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Danny did not even make it past the leeward islands. He is dead. Unfortunately very little if any rain. <img src="http://www.traveltalkonline.com/forums/images/graemlins/Groovin.gif" alt="" />
Last edited by tpcook; 08/24/2015 12:49 PM.
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So, after all of the hoopla caused by experts with their predictions, scientific theories, measurements, charts, etc. all we had to do was ask Liane how her knee was feeling to find out if indeed a hurricane would strike the BVI?
It's not what you've got, it's what you give, it's not the life you choose, it's the life you live.
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Joined: Oct 2014
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I wonder how Erika will treat her knee.
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Jeeze guys ... I don't need that kind of pressure on me! Interestingly, after reading that Danny was dead, I went about my business as usual and didn't think about the weather again. Then around 9:00 or 10:00 last night, my knee started to ache and began to swell. I looked on the internet, and sure enough, there sat Erika. Darn it! I went to sleep about midnight and woke up at 4:00, knee totally swollen now. Took some Advil and made a cup of coffee. About half an hour ago, a thunderstorm started and we are getting "some" rain as well. Yeah! <img src="http://www.traveltalkonline.com/forums/images/graemlins/Grin.gif" alt="" /> Seems Danny hasn't quite moved on yet. So now I don't know if it was Danny or Erika causing my knee to hurt, but the Advil has done the trick for now. Best listen to the experts! Understanding my knee is what you might call a rather inexact science. All I can tell you is that there is a bit of a storm here now and there may be one coming. I'll let you know what happens when Danny finally pushes off. <Add to shopping list> Large bottle of Advil. Looks as though there is something massive about to roll off the coast of Guinea/Gambia/Senegal. That thing could prove to be a nasty one if it doesn't break up first.
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