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#141418 09/08/2017 08:02 AM
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 3,278
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Is right behind Irma. Even if not a direct hit, they do NOT NEED THIS!!

With no electricity, internet, cable...how are island residents to be aware that this is coming? I hope the news is getting out somehow.

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/tropical-storm-hurricane-jose-forecast-atlantic


"It is good to do nothing all day, and then to rest" wink
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BeachKitten #141419 09/08/2017 08:10 AM
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StormCarib has closest point about 80 miles. Not a direct hit but how much more wind and rain can the infrastructure take? It's Sint Maarten worst nightmare come to life. I continue to pray.


Rick and Grace
BeachKitten #141420 09/08/2017 09:02 AM
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Laser 101 is getting the message about Jose out. They are fully aware.

wilsonck #141421 09/08/2017 10:50 AM
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Posts: 7,631
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BeachKitten #141422 09/08/2017 11:22 AM
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sxmmartini #141423 09/08/2017 05:14 PM
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ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
500 PM AST Fri Sep 08 2017

...JOSE REMAINS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
...HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 58.3W
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Antigua has issued a Hurricane Warning for
Barbuda and Anguilla.

The government of France has issued a Hurricane Warning for St.
Martin and Barthelemy.

The government of Sint Maarten has issued a Hurricane Warning for
Sint Maarten.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Barbuda and Anguilla
* Sint Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua
* Saba and St. Eustatius

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Montserrat, St Kitts, and Nevis
* British Virgin Islands
* St. Thomas and St. John

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Jose was located
near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 58.3 West. Jose is moving toward
the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). A turn toward the
northwest with a decrease in forward speed is forecast tonight
through the weekend. On the forecast track, the core of Jose will
pass close or just east of the northern Leeward Islands.

Maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher
gusts. Jose is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuation in intensity, up or down,
could occur during the next day or so. Gradual weakening is
expected after that.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 940 mb (27.76 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are likely within the hurricane warning
area on Saturday. Hurricane conditions are also possible within
the hurricane watch area on Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are
expected within the tropical storm warning areas by Saturday
morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the tropical
storm watch area in the northeastern Leeward Islands by Saturday
morning and in the watch area in the Virgin Islands by Saturday
night.

RAINFALL: Jose is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches in the Leeward Islands from Guadeloupe to Anguilla,
with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches. Jose is also expected to
produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over the Virgin
Islands and Dominica. This rainfall will maintain any ongoing
flooding and may cause additional life-threatening flooding.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast in
the hurricane warning areas. Near the coast,the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.

SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

sxmmartini #141424 09/08/2017 08:08 PM
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Posts: 7,631
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000
WTNT32 KNHC 082352
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Jose Intermediate Advisory Number 14A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
800 PM AST Fri Sep 08 2017

...POWERFUL CATEGORY 4 JOSE FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS ON SATURDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 58.8W
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...938 MB...27.70 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Barbuda and Anguilla
* Sint Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua
* Saba and St. Eustatius

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Montserrat, St Kitts, and Nevis
* British Virgin Islands
* St. Thomas and St. John

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Jose was located near
latitude 16.7 North, longitude 58.8 West. Jose is moving toward the
west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). A turn toward the northwest
with a decrease in forward speed is forecast to begin overnight and
continue through the weekend. On the forecast track, the core of
Jose will pass close to or just east of the northern Leeward
Islands.

Maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher
gusts. Jose is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuation in intensity, up or down,
could occur during the next day or so. Gradual weakening is
expected after that.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure based observations from the
Air Force Hurricane Hunters is 938 mb (27.70 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are likely within the hurricane warning
area on Saturday. Hurricane conditions are also possible within
the hurricane watch area on Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are
expected within the tropical storm warning areas by Saturday
morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the tropical
storm watch area in the northeastern Leeward Islands by Saturday
morning and in the watch area in the Virgin Islands by Saturday
night.

RAINFALL: Jose is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches in the Leeward Islands from Guadeloupe to Anguilla,
with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches. Jose is also expected to
produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over the Virgin
Islands and Dominica. This rainfall will maintain any ongoing
flooding and may cause additional life-threatening flooding.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast in
the hurricane warning areas. Near the coast, the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.

SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands. These swells are expected to continue for a couple
of days, and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

sxmmartini #141425 09/08/2017 08:27 PM
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 3,278
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Posts: 3,278
They're saying the only positive is that they can use the water and fill buckets and collect rainwater.


"It is good to do nothing all day, and then to rest" wink
BeachKitten #141426 09/08/2017 11:05 PM
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 7,631
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Posts: 7,631
0
WTNT32 KNHC 090242
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
1100 PM AST Fri Sep 08 2017

...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND JOSE EVEN STRONGER...
...ALMOST A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 59.3W
ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...938 MB...27.70 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Barbuda and Anguilla
* Sint Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua
* Saba and St. Eustatius

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Montserrat, St Kitts, and Nevis
* British Virgin Islands
* St. Thomas and St. John

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Jose was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 59.3 West. Jose is moving toward
the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A west-northwest to
northwest motion is expected during the next couple of days. On the
forecast track, the core of Jose will pass close to or just east of
the northern Leeward Islands.

Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher
gusts. Jose is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuation in intensity, up or down,
could occur overnight and on Saturday. Gradual weakening is
expected after that.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure based on observations from
the Air Force Hurricane Hunters is 938 mb (27.70 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane
warning area on Saturday. Hurricane conditions are also possible
within the hurricane watch area on Saturday. Tropical storm
conditions are expected within the tropical storm warning areas by
Saturday morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the
tropical storm watch area in the northeastern Leeward Islands by
Saturday morning and in the watch area in the Virgin Islands by
Saturday night.

RAINFALL: Jose is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches in the Leeward Islands from Guadeloupe to Anguilla,
with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches. Jose is also expected to
produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over the Virgin
Islands and Dominica. This rainfall will maintain any ongoing
flooding and may cause additional life-threatening flooding.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast in
the hurricane warning areas. Near the coast, the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.

SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands. These swells are expected to continue for a couple
of days, and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

BeachKitten #141427 09/08/2017 11:18 PM
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Posts: 7,631
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sxmmartini #141428 09/08/2017 11:20 PM
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Posts: 2,288
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Someone on laser 101 just gave closest point of approach update as 69 miles which is quite closer than it was earlier today.

It is making a bit of a turn unfortunately closer to SXM

Last few hours it has been paralleling the IRMA track just a few miles south

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ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
500 AM AST Sat Sep 09 2017

...JOSE HEADED TOWARD THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 60.3W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Barbuda and Anguilla
* Sint Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua
* Saba and St. Eustatius

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Montserrat, St Kitts, and Nevis
* British Virgin Islands
* St. Thomas and St. John

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jose was located
near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 60.3 West. Jose is moving toward
the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A continued
west-northwest to northwest motion is expected during the next
couple of days. On the forecast track, the core of Jose will pass
close to or just east of the northern Leeward Islands today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher
gusts. Jose is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuation in intensity, up or down,
could occur during the next 24 hours. Afterward, gradual weakening
is expected to occur.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 940 mb (27.76 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane
warning area today. Hurricane conditions are also possible within
the hurricane watch area today. Tropical storm conditions are
expected within the tropical storm warning areas by this morning.
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the tropical storm watch
area in the northeastern Leeward Islands by this morning and in the
watch area in the Virgin Islands by tonight.

RAINFALL: Jose is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches in the Leeward Islands from Guadeloupe to Anguilla,
with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches. Jose is also expected to
produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over the Virgin
Islands and Dominica. This rainfall will maintain any ongoing
flooding and may cause additional life-threatening flooding.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast in
the hurricane warning areas. Near the coast, the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.

SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands. These swells are expected to continue for a couple
of days, and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

sxmmartini #141430 09/09/2017 05:31 AM
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Posts: 7,631
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Posts: 7,631
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sxmmartini #141431 09/09/2017 07:44 AM
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Posts: 7,631
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BeachKitten #141432 09/09/2017 07:58 AM
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Posts: 7,631
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ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
Hurricane Jose Intermediate Advisory Number 16A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
800 AM AST Sat Sep 09 2017

...JOSE A LITTLE WEAKER BUT STILL A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4
HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 60.7W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...944 MB...27.88 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Antigua has downgraded the Hurricane Warning for
Barbuda and Anguilla to a Tropical Storm Warning.

The government of Antigua has discontinued the Hurricane Watch for
Antigua.

The government of Antigua has downgraded the Tropical Storm Warning
for Antigua to a Tropical Storm Watch.

The government of Antigua has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch
for Montserrat, St. Kitts, and Nevis.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Sint Maarten
* St. Martin
* St. Barthelemy

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Barbuda and Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* British Virgin Islands
* St. Thomas and St. John
* Antigua

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Jose was located
near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 60.7 West. Jose is moving toward
the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A continued northwest motion
is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track,
the core of Jose will pass close to or just east of the northern
Leeward Islands later today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher
gusts. Jose is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuation in intensity, up or down,
could occur during the next 24 hours. Afterward, gradual weakening
is expected to occur.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km).

The minimum central pressure recently measured by an Air Force
Hurricane Hunter plane was 944 mb (27.88 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane
warning area today. Tropical storm conditions are expected within
the tropical storm warning areas by this morning. Tropical storm
conditions are possible in the tropical storm watch area in the
northeastern Leeward Islands by this morning and in the watch area
in the Virgin Islands by tonight.

RAINFALL: Jose is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches in the Leeward Islands from Guadeloupe to Anguilla,
with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches. Jose is also expected to
produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over the Virgin
Islands and Dominica. This rainfall will maintain any ongoing
flooding and may cause additional life-threatening flooding.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast in
the hurricane warning and tropical storm warning areas. Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands. These swells are expected to continue for a couple
of days, and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

sxmmartini #141433 09/09/2017 08:53 AM
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Posts: 2,288
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For Sxm, this Jose has made a nice right turn to North


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