One bad night there was enough for me. Seas were calm all day. Swell rolled in after dark and we had 3 -4 foot breakers on the reef. An old 50 foot steel hull mono tried to escape about midnight and he washed up on the reef. The breakers finally bounced him over the reef and he got an anchor down. Sleepless night for everyone that night. Im like you George it would be a very convincing forecast before i would stay there again. Too easy to motor around the corner to any of the other protected spots at JVD.